I’m a professional gambler, and I share my horse racing tips for today. My Free Bet of the Day will be posted below, after midday most days. Since my Premium Advisory Service launched on 1st of October 2013, the Free Bet changed slightly. The advisory service has around 15 bets a week, and they will be emailed to members daily between 8:30 and 11:30 in the morning. The Free Bet therefore will now be the horse I think represents the best bet of the day, at the current odds after the 11:30 cutoff for my premium bets. It might be a horse that fell just below the criteria for a premium bet, or it might be in a race where the market hadn’t properly formed before noon. As soon as I post today’s horse racing free tip, I will tweet a link to this page, so please for updates to this, and other pages on the website.
I’ll provide a brief reasoning of why I think the horse is a good bet, a more detailed explanation would only result in giving away any angles I have, to the benefit of the bookmakers, and also the price might shorten, while I’m writing up the article. It’s important to get on at the price advised, so if you don’t have an account with the bookie going top price, then sign up, and avail of the free bet they offer to new customers.
Since it was launched in May 2013 the Free Tip of the Day is showing a profit of +222 points to advised stakes, this includes all Rule 4 deductions, and best odds guaranteed, where applicable. The Return on Investment is a good +10.2%, especially considering my best bets are on my Premium Advisory Service which has been hugely successful since launch in October 2013.
Free Bet of the Day – Tuesday 28th of July 2020
2 PT Win Layfayette at 5/1 with Bet 365
Today’s Horse Racing tip runs in the 6:15 at Galway. Flying Scotsman heads the market for this, after running out a three length winner yesterday, and he looks well handicapped off a six pounds higher mark. The issue is the trip, as he improved hugely for the step up from seven furlongs to a mile and a half, and while some of that improvement was likely physical, he had shaped like he would need at least ten furlongs to show his best prior to yesterday, and he finished his race strongly too. It seems highly unlikely he’ll be as effective over this half mile shorter trip, and he has to be taken on at odds of just 2/1.
Layfayette won a maiden at Navan last season on fast ground, and was second on heavy at Naas, so today’s ground will hold no fears, and after a mid division finish on his handicap debut at the Curragh, he was third in a rated stakes at Cork last time, beaten three and a half lengths, but just half a length off the second. The winner who was giving him three pounds has since won of a mark of 94, while the second who he was giving four pounds too, ran well of 78 last time, so even on the bare form his mark of 83 looks fair, but he was a good bit better than the result, held up a good way off the steady pace the second set, with the winner sitting much closer to it, and at the very least he shaped clear second best, which makes his odds of 5/1 this evening look worth a bet.
If you want my best bets everyday, check out my Premium Advisory Service. The profit since launch until the end of July 2020, for the Premium Bets and the Festival Packages combined, which Premium Members also receive, is + 2,107 points, which is +€52,675 at the recommended €25 a point stakes, for an exceptional ROI of +17.7%. The figures quoted don’t include any BOG either. The recommended starting betting bank for €25 a point stakes is €3,500, so that’s a remarkable 1,505% bank growth in six and a half years.
Stakes are on a scale of 0-10. Further details can be found in Staking and Betting Bank size Recommendations
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BOG stands for Best Odds Guaranteed, which means if you take a price and SP is better, you get the SP. It’s one of the reasons why betting at morning prices is very advantageous to punters.
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