Today’s Horse Racing tip runs in the 2:05 at Lingfield. There’s five runners in this and none of them have made the running in any of their last four starts, so a steady pace is a definite possibility here, which could count against the favourite Reckless Endeavour who was flat out for most of the trip before getting up late at Newcastle last time.
Count Otto was very interesting at opening quotes of 8/1 last night, but the 4/1 he is currently looks about right, as a lack of pace would count against him too. Him, and a few others in the same race, got borderline incompetent rides last time over this course and distance, giving away a big lead to two horses despite them going steady themselves, and he did very well to get within two lengths of the winner.
Savalas’s recent form is as good as anything else in this though, despite the fact he wasn’t quick into stride for his two second place finishes at Chelmsford. Both of those came over five furlongs and he came home strongly in both. He has been slow away a good bit lately, but he jumped okay last time, before receiving a bump after a couple of strides, so he did very well to be only beaten three quarters of a length. The extra furlong here and lack of any others wanting to lead should help him at the start, and he has made the running plenty in the past, so is most likely to take advantage of a soft lead.
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