Today’s Horse Racing tip runs in the 5:15 at Newcastle. Lion Hearted is the odds on favourite for this, and he will take an awful lot of beating, but he is up thirteen pounds for two wins in a weaker grade, and while the move to Mick Appleby from Tracy Collins has clearly brought about improvement, with a good chance of more to come, it was his strength at the finish having briefly looked in trouble at Chelmsford, and at Newcastle last time, that was most impressive and it could be if he ends up rated a good bit higher than today’s mark, it will be over further, and he looks too short at 4/5 today.
Great Colaci has a very consistent record over this course and distance, and was third here last September and again in October on his penultimate start. He was off 53 for both those placings, but gets to run off 52 today following at down the field effort at the end of January, but he was up with a strong pace that day, and that combined with the fact he was coming back from a break is a valid excuse. Given his overall record he could easily bounce back today, and Lion Hearted aside his two previous runs would give him every chance of going close, with less pace pressure meaning he could be in the right spot this time, and anything other than a solid gallop would count against the favourite.
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